Although the economic recovery won't finish in 2010, next year is plenty of investments opportunities out there for those willing to take some action. The main 5 reasons to invest in the stock market are:1. Low Interest rates: The main central banks (The US Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the European Central Bank) will keep the interest rate at its lowest to promote borrowing between banks and from commercial banks to final users. That also means you won't be getting much for your savings. Have a look to your savings account. How much do you get for your savings? 1%, 2% interest? That means that if you make a 3% gain in the stock market would be definitely worth the investment. To make a 3% gain is much easier than to make a 10% gain. If the banks were offering you 10% for your savings you should aim for a higher return in an investment. That makes it more difficult. With historical low interest rates to make more money in the stock market than in your savings account is not rocket science.
2. Volatility: Analysts have said that the 2010 will be plenty of up and downs, that means greed and panic attacks. But this also means opportunity for those able to wait the right moment and keep their nerve. As Ben Graham said: "The intelligent investor is a realist who sells to optimists and buys from pessimists". With a high volatility the market will incur in many inefficiencies, that means that some stocks will be underpriced due to panic attacks. In other words, you'll be able to buy a $1 for.50 cents.
3. Bargain time: After the recent crisis we can find many undervalued companies. In March 2009 the Dow Jones went to its August 1998 level, and so did all major stock market indexes. Does this mean all companies in the world were doing really bad? Not really. What actually happened is that some big companies did bad, really bad (some even disappeared - Lehman Brothers) and investors panicked and let their emotions take the decisions. Most companies have been affected by the credit crunch, their revenue/profit forecast has been adjusted, but good companies still make money. If a company makes 10% less profit, but its share is selling a 30% less than it was before you are buying it at a good price. There are many companies at the moment that are selling at a discount price.
4. Some industries will never disappear: The economy is cyclical. It has up and downturns, and downturns are normally caused by a key industry that gets into trouble. Does this mean that the industry will disappear? No way. Without certain industries our world wouldn't be possible. Can you imagine a world without banks? Can you imagine a world without cars? Without oil? Without electricity? When a key industry causes a financial recession the authorities and the industry itself put in place regulation and norms to avoid future problems and to improve its efficiency. After some time the industry will outperform its level before the downturn.
5. After the storm the sun always shines: Institutional investors account for 70% of all trading and most of them have managers that are evaluated regarding their quarterly performance, that makes them extremely shortsighted. The crisis won't last forever and once is over the companies that survived will be stronger than before. Many companies that didn't pay any dividend will resume to pay a dividend in 2010 or 2011. That's why you should look for companies with a strong financial position enough to survive the storm and enjoy their dividends once the sun is shining again.
Stock Market - 5 Reasons to Invest in the Stock Market in 2010 .....
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Dow Jones shares up on bid interest...
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Dow Jones shares shot up nearly15% in trading Friday on the heels of the news that the company's controlling shareholders will consider bids from News Corp. and different possible suitors for the parent of the Wall Street Journal.
Shares in Dow Jones climb well past their recent 52-week high of $58.47, closing Friday at $61.20, up $7.89 on much higher-than-usual volume of trading. The unsolicited $5 billion bid that News Corp. made for Dow Jones last month valued the company at $60 a share.
The Bancroft clan that controls Dow Jones did a surprise about-face on Thursday after antecedently rejecting News Corp.'s offer. The Bancrofts said in a statement that they would meet with News Corp. chief Rupert Murdoch and other potential suitors as they consider various options for the company. No timetable was specified for the meeting with Murdoch. A News Corp. spokesman declined comment Friday on whether a meeting been set.
The Bancrofts' surprising replace of heart move spurred speculation that the release of the statement was designed to spur other bidders to make a formal offer for the company. In Thursday's statement, the clan that has controlled Dow Jones since 1902 stressed that its overriding interest was to assure that potential acquirers of the company would maintain "the level of commitment to editorial independence, integrity and journalistic freedom that's the hallmark of Dow Jones."
Dow Jones Ind. Ave. and S&P 500 Test Equal Move Targets at Lows
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Dow Jones Ind. Ave. and S&P 500 Test Equal Move Targets at Lows
(Note: Unless otherwise stated, the index action described below relates to the EMini futures contracts for the respective indices. Actual index action may differ slightly in terms of pattern formation, although the market bias will remain the same.)
Hey gang! First off, I want to thank completely of you that made it out to my presentation on Monday evening in New York! It was quite a turn out! I'll be sending out a copy of the power point for the class this week, so keep an eye out for it!The market finally got past its afternoon sluggishness this week. In fact, the swings throughout the session over the past several days have been extremely nice for daytraders. The 5 minute moves have been smooth and without a great deal of chop on either the up or downside. Monday kicked off with a gap up, but selling hit suddenly out of the open and a strong downtrend took hold. This trend continued throughout the session and took the indices into the upper end of the daily target zone we had been following over the past several weeks. This amounted to an equal move zone hitting on the daily time frame in the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average.
On Tuesday the markets rebounded with the strongest gains in over a month. The S&Ps had tested the November lows the day before and this served as a strong technical support level which fueled speculation of a low being established. We are still ahead of the typical reversal duration in the markets though, so I wouldn't mind just one more minor test of lows, into perhaps the 7000 level on the Dow. March tends to be a much stronger month for market reversals, as well as breakouts from trading ranges.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJI) ended lower by 80.05 points, or 1.1%, at 7,270.89 on Wednesday. The index's down 16.2% so far this year. The early morning losses on Wednesday were extended by poor housing data in which the National Association of Realtors reported that existing home sales fell 5.3% in January. This was a much stronger decline than had been anticipated and prices fell near 6 year lows. The S&P 500 ($SPX) fell 8.24 points, or 1.1%, and closed at 764.90. The Nasdaq Composite ($COMPX) lost 16.40 points, or 1.1%, on Friday. It closed at 1,425.43.
Dow Jones Etf...Basics Of Etf Trading...
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ETFs, or exchange-traded funds, were first introduced to the market in the early 1990's as well as are used as an investment vehicle, traded similar to stocks or shares on stock exchanges. These funds are often attractive to investors caused by their tax efficiencylow costs and similarity to stocks. ETFs have been called the most innovative investment medium of the last twenty years by 67% of investment professionals in March 2008. Of these professionals, 60% reported that ETFs have significantly changed how they build investment portfolios. Perhaps the most widely well-known ETF is called the Spider (SPDR) and tracks the S&P 500 index, trading under the SPY symbol.
ETFs experience price changes during the course of a trading day as they are bought and sold, but tend to trade at the same price as the net asset value of its underlying assets along the period of a trading day, and holds assets e.g. bonds or stocks. Most ETFs track / monitor a financial index, for example the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Exchange-traded funds maintain completely the features of ordinary stock -- for example short selling, options and limit orders -- but provide well-to-do diversification, tax efficiency of index funds and low expense ratios. Unlike mutual funds, it does not have its net asset value (NAV) calculated every day. Some investors tend to invest in ETF shares as long-term investments because the able to be economically acquired, held and disposed of, while other investors prefer to trade ETF shares regularly in order to employ market timing investment strategies.
Some criticism has been given of ETFs. A leading issuer of index funds, The Vanguard Group, has argued that ETFs do not provide enough diversifications, that trading expenses decrease the potential return for investors. ETFs that tracked domestic indexes generally experience less than 2% variation on closing price, but variations might be much better when ETFs track foreign indexes. This is why monitoring of commodities is so important.
In late 2008 it was reported that a few lightly traded ETFs had frequent deviations of more than 5%, and in a select number of cases greater than 10%, though the typical deviation is not much more than 1%. The largest deviations in trade occur just after the opening of market. Several critics have claimed that ETFs have been used to manipulate market prices and been used in short selling, which according to some contributed to the 2008 market collapse.
Dow Jones Tip Sheet: Rockwater Hedge Reckons Municipal Bonds Are Hot-2
Labels: taatoo |Because the fund still gets 5% interest on the whole value of the municipal bond - plus
the additional yield from leverage - and only has to pay 3% on the short-term notes,
industry returns are between 10% and 12%, says Williams.
This compares with annual returns of 5.99% in 2004 and 5.60% in 2005 for Chicagobased
Hedge Fund Research's Fixed Income Arbitrage Index, which incorporates a
variety of arbitrage strategies in fixed-income instruments.
All returns are net of fees. Rockwater declined to disclose specific fees, but fund-ofhedge-
funds managers typically charge annual management fees of between 1% and 2%
and an incentive, or performance, fee of 20%. In addition, investors pay similar fees to
the underlying hedge-fund managers.
Municipal bond arbitrage's still early territory for hedge funds, and while lack of
competition has been good for returns, Williams isn't concerned about new players
entering the field.
"With 55,000 state, county and city government issuers across the U.S.
and unlikely to pull back any time soon, there will be plenty of municipal bonds
available," he says.
At the same time, demand for very short-term municipal paper is high because the
bonds are typically issued for long terms - anything from 20 to 40 years, he says.
The yield curve for these bonds is probably to remain steep even as the Federal Reserve
has raised short-term interest rates, which it did most latterly March 28.
"While the Fed's actions might put pressure on the municipal yield curve to flatten,
historically this hasn't happened and the municipal yield curve has maintained its positive
slope," says Williams.
Once the company builds a track record over a couple of years, Rockwater Hedge plans
on attracting institutional investors interested in this type of instrument, namely casualty
and property insurers, who currently make up the 30% balance of the direct municipal
bond market.
Williams declined to comment on the size of his fund or its performance citing
regulatory concerns and because, at the moment, investment is only by private
placement to high-net-worth every individuals and is not accessible directly to the public.
(Marietta Cauchi covers hedge funds, private equity and mergers and acquisitions for
Dow Jones Newswires.)
Dow Jones Tip Sheet: Rockwater Hedge Reckons Municipal Bonds Are Hot-1
Labels: taatoo |NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--Rockwater Hedge LLC's making a bet on municipal bonds.
The lure was irresistible, according to Bryan Williams, managing principal of the
Newport Beach, Calif.-based fund comprised of hedge funds. Just last year, Williams
morphed from being a conventional advisor of high-net-worth individuals into being a
hedge fund manager.
"Never in 25 years in the money-management business had I come across such a timely
and compelling strategy," says Williams who picked municipal bond arbitrage out of a
smorgasbord of hedge-fund strategies because of its potential for persistently high
returns.
"Investors need an alternative. The bull retail in bonds is finishing, there are single-digit
expectations for equities, and there's a load of money in cash," Williams says.
Not generally regarded as exciting investments, the $2 trillion municipal bond market
has been traditionally dominated by individual holders - either through direct investment
or via mutual funds - who comprise 70% of the municipal bond market.
Over the last four to five years, and increasingly over the last two years, however, savvy
hedge funds have been moving into municipal bonds looking for returns that have
become more difficult to find elsewhere.
Rockwater invests its clients' money in some of the 25 individual hedge funds which,
Williams believes, comprise the total number of funds dedicated to municipal bond
arbitrage out of about 8,600 hedge funds and funds of hedge funds, according to data
from Chicago-based Hedge Fund Research.
Money is made by splitting a long-term, triple-A-rated municipal bond into two
certificates: a floating-rate short-term instrument the fund sells to money-market retail
investors and on which it pays 3% interest, and a residual long-term piece which the
fund retains. Leverage is created by issuing more floating-rate certificates than residual
certificates.
The fund also shorts top-quality corporate bonds to hedge against the risk of interest
rates going up on its long-term piece of the municipal bond.
News Corp, Dow Jones agree on WSJ editorial integrity: source
Labels: taatoo |News Corp. has reached a verbal agreement with Dow Jones to safeguard the editorial integrity of the Wall Street Journal, removing a major hurdle in its hostile takeover bid, a source close to the negotiations said Tuesday.
The issue of editorial independence of the heading US business newspaper has been a key obstacle in the five-billion-dollar unwelcome offer made last month by Rupert Murdoch's sprawling media group.
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The Wall Street Journal reported Tuesday many "open items" remained unresolved, but the two sides had essentially forged an agreement.
The source familiar with the talks told AFP the deal was not yet final.
"We're close to agreement, but no agreement has been put down on paper," a person familiar with the situation told AFP.
"Are the parties producing progress? Absolutely. An ad hoc committee has been meeting with their opposite numbers from News Corp. for several days now and their discussions are continuing.
"Progress's being made on editorial integrity and the independence front," said the person, who requested anonymity.
Any takeover agreement requires the approval of the Bancroft family, the controlling shareholders of Dow Jones, one of America's most storied media firms.
Union officials, opposed to the News Corp. bid, said the Bancrofts still have the ultimate say on any deal.
"This group won't be sold unless the Bancroft family accepts," Steve Yount, of the IAPE union which represents Dow Jones & Co. employees, told AFP.
"The family gave a certain set of conditions. And I have seen no sign that they changed their position."
The Bancrofts originally rebuffed Murdoch's takeover approach in May, citing concerns about editorial independence, but industry analysts say the family might be warming to News Corp.'s bid which is valued at 60 dollars per Dow Jones share.
Some Wall Street Journal journalists are opposed to a tie-up with News Corp., claiming Murdoch has interfered in the editorial decisions of a little of of his media outlets. Their stance appears to backed by some members of the Bancroft family, according to US media reports.
The ad hoc committee, which includes Bancroft representatives, has led some of the ongoing negotiations with News Corp. since Murdoch met with several family representatives earlier this month in a bid to allay their concerns, according to the person familiar with the situation.
Murdoch had proposed setting up a system that would guarantee the editorial independence of the Journal similar to the one used by the Times newspaper of London, one of his high-profile British assets, which his media empire acquired in 1981. The Times has a special committee which is empowered to review the appointment of an editor-in-chief.
Dow Jones shareholders reportedly have been putting pressure on the Bancrofts to accept Murdoch's offer due to of the handsome premium News Corp. is offering for the company.
The Bancrofts have nonetheless signaled they will entertain takeover offers from other achievable bidders, although there are no other well-known bidders at this stage.
US conglomerate General Electric said last week that it would not be teaming up with Britain's Pearson, the owner of the Financial Times, to mount a possible takeover bid for Dow Jones, dashing the hopes of some Dow Jones employees opposed to News Corp.'s bid.